Inference sovereignty / measurement tool

Inference Dependence Score

Five-dimension estimate of strategic dependence on foreign frontier AI providers. Higher score = greater exposure if access were restricted, throttled, or repriced.

Provider concentration1.5

0 = usage spread across many providers · 3 = near-total reliance on one foreign provider

Switching cost1.5

0 = cheap, fast migration to alternatives · 3 = retraining, re-integration, major performance loss

Fallback capability gap1.5

0 = strong domestic / open-weight fallback exists · 3 = no fallback if foreign access is cut

Regulatory leverage gap1.5

0 = binding, enforceable rules on providers · 3 = voluntary guidance only, no enforcement teeth

Resilience gap1.5

0 = tested continuity plan for critical sectors · 3 = no plan for sanctions, withdrawal, or pricing shocks

Adjust dimension weights (default: equal)
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
Inference Dependence Score
50
Moderate dependence
Strategy comparison

Same current scores, with one investment applied — shows which lever actually moves the score.

Status quo
50
+ Buy GPUs
(Fallback −0.5)
50
+ Secure the gateway
(Switching −1, Resilience −1, Fallback −0.5)
50

Preset values are illustrative starting points drawn from case-study research on Vietnam, Indonesia, and Singapore — not precise measurements. Adjust sliders to reflect your own assessment. IDS = 100 × (Σ weight × dimension score) / (Σ weight × 3).